One in three babies born this year will live to 100


One in three babies born this year will live to 100 - One in three babies born this year will live to the age of 100, official projections have concluded.

Tens of thousands of extra people will live to see in the milestone, according to the Office for National Statistics.

The official projections on “mortality”, published on Monday, suggested that “at every age”, females had more chance of reaching their 100th birthdays than males did.


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Up to 100 babies are screened at Southampton General Hospital's hip clinic every week with around one in every 20 full-term babies has some level of instability and swaddling-related incidences are increasing

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More women than men will live to 100 (Picture: ALAMY)

The projections said that a third of babies born in 2012 would live to be 100, with nearly 40 per cent of baby girls compared to just under a third of baby boys reaching the milestone.

The ONS report, titled "What Are The Chances Of Surviving To Age 100?", also suggests more people will live to get a card through the post from the Monarch of the day.

More than 95,000 people aged 65 in 2012 are expected to celebrate their 100th birthday in 2047.

Researchers found that only 10 per cent of men aged 65 this year and 14 per cent of women the same age would reach this milestone.

According to the latest figures there are 826,000 babies aged under one year in Britain, with 423,000 being male and 403,000 female.

Of these, 135,000 men and 156,000 women, who were born in 2012, are expected to still be alive by the age of 100, the ONS said.

Meanwhile of the 395,000 men and 417,000 women aged 65 this year, 10 per cent of men and 14 per cent of women respectively will reach 100.

According to the ONS figures, the number of people who are aged 100 years or more has increased from just 600 in 1961, the first year for official midyear population estimates, to nearly 13,000 in 2010.

The government statisticians projected this to rise to 456,000 by 2060.

“The size of a birth cohort has an impact on the number of people surviving 100 years later,” an ONS spokesman said.

“For example the peak at around age 45 in 2012 relates to the 1960s baby boom and the dip at around age 11 in 2012 relates to the low point in fertility in 2001.”

The rising ageing population will likely have significant impacts on future elderly care.

Last week The Daily Telegraph disclosed that elderly people face paying up to £100,000 for their care under a secret government plans.

George Osborne hinted in the Budget that the “burden” of funding services for Britain’s ageing population should not fall on younger generations.

Last year a government adviser, Andrew Dilnot, proposed a new system of funding for elderly care, intended to ensure that pensioners are no longer forced to sell their homes to cover the cost of care in old age.

Under his plan, no one would pay more than £35,000 during their lifetime for their personal care.

The Treasury, however, is said to be reluctant to provide the £1.7 billion a year in extra funding that the Dilnot plan would require. Some officials are believed to favour a scheme which would see all but the poorest pensioners pay the full cost of their care.

The Department of Health has modelled a plan under which the cap could be set at £100,000, almost three times the level Mr Dilnot proposed, the Telegraph has learned.

But elderly people should be protected from the six-figure bills for residential care, a minister suggested,

Paul Burstow, the Liberal Democrat care services minister, said he believed that this figure was “too high”.

Cross party talks are under way in an attempt to forge a consensus between Labour and the coalition on how to fund social care for elderly and disabled adults in future.

But the plans have stalled as the talks struggle to reach agreement. The White Paper was originally intended to be published next month, but now looks unlikely to appear before June.

Mr Burstow stressed that talks were continuing over the plans, including discussions with Labour in an attempt to reach a cross-party deal.

"No decisions have been taken about funding reform," the minister said.

"Since receiving Andrew Dilnot's report, we have been engaging with stakeholders on their priorities.

"They told us the level of the cap was important and if it were too high, such as £100k, it would not deliver the intended benefits. "The coalition government is currently holding talks with the opposition on reform of funding."

He added: "We will publish our plans for reform of care and support in a white paper and progress report later this spring."

Currently, there is no limit on care bills and an estimated 20,000 people a year are forced to sell their homes to pay for long term support. One in 10 faces care costs of more than £100,000, according to government figures.

The ONS said its projections were not “forecasts and do not attempt to predict the impact that future government policies, changing economic circumstances or other factors … might have on demographic behaviour”. ( telegraph.co.uk )





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